Every year the Salt Lake Board of Realtors commissions the Salt Lake Housing Forecast Report, A Review and Forecast for the Salt Lake County Residential Real Estate Market by James Wood, with the Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute at The University of Utah. The report is filled with excellent information about last years numbers - here's how things looked.
"Why are housing prices so high in Utah? Indeed, the state’s rapid demographic and economic growth from 2010 to 2022 played a leading role as demand outstripped supply, and prices rose... But a price correction is underway."
Median Sales Price of a Home in Salt Lake County
Year | Single Family Homes | Condo/Townhome/Twin Home |
2017 | $325,000 | $225,000 |
2018 | $355,000 | $248,895 |
2019 | $380,000 | $275,000 |
2020 | $425,000 | $304,500 |
2021 | $533,000 | $374,900 |
2022 | $606,000 | $430,000 |
2023 | $586,000 | $415,000 |
2024 | $610,000 | $425,525 |
Source: UtahRealEstate.com
With prices maintaining their upward trajectory, some buyers may have hoped that home values would decrease (or perhaps crash). This obviously didn't happen in 2024...
"In the past two years, the median price of a single-family home in Salt Lake County has increased by about 1%, from $606,000 in 2022 to $610,000 in 2024. And for condominiums (including town homes and twin homes) the median sales price is down about 1% in two years, from $430,000 to $425,500"
"A pause in price gains was predictable after the sharp, record-breaking 40% spike in prices from 2020 to 2022. Yet despite the recent breather in price increases, the mortgage payment on the median-priced home continues to exclude many would-be buyers from homeownership... Despite the cooling of price increases, housing affordability remains a serious issue for both buyers and sellers"
While days on the market has increased and more homes are on the market for longer, there is still a lack of inventory, and demand for real estate has kept prices high. The market is also acclimating to interest rates, but affordability is still a hurdle for many would-be buyers. This has resulted in an increased focus on condominiums and smaller homes.
This graph showcases this shift in home sales towards condominiums, townhomes and twin homes, as they are more affordable to buyers, especially those purchasing for the first time or looking at entry level priced homes.
"In 2010, condominiums accounted for 17% of existing home sales, 1,765 units (Figure 4). By 2024, condominiums’ share of existing home sales was nearly 31%, 3,716 units. Condominiums now represent almost one out of every three existing homes sold in Salt Lake County."
So, that's what happened in 2024. What can we expect in 2025? It looks like not everything is going to be perfect, but things are looking favorable for moderate, more balanced growth in the housing market.
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS – Expect continued slower demographic and economic growth.
HOUSING AFFORDABILITY – Home sales will continue to be challenged by the decline in affordability. However, with an increased number of listings that are on the market longer, upward pricing pressure will be lighter.
MORTGAGE RATE – Rates are expected to stay above 6%, but below 7% for the next 2 years.
HOUSING PRICES – The median sales price for single-family homes is anticipated to increase by around 2% to $620,000. Condos, townhomes, and twin homes should increase by 6% to $450,000, due to their relative affordability.
RESIDENTIAL SALES – Residential sales of condos are looking to increase by 8% to about 4,000, while sales of single family homes should increase by 3% to 8,600 homes.
So, moderate improvement is in the forecast. We see more inventory coming, prices will still increase, and rates will be more stable. If you are thinking of buying a home, or selling your current residence, now is a good time to discuss the details!
We would be happy to provide you a pdf of the 2024 Housing Forecast!
In addition to our local housing forecast, thousands of viewers tuned into the Coldwell Banker 2025 Economic Summit for economic analysis on a national scale. The presenter was Dr. Elliot Eisenberg (who also presented last year), an internationally acclaimed economist, who shared invaluable insights covering interest rates to consumer and housing market trends.
Check out the video soon, since we don't know how long it will remain available. Again, if you have any questions, get in touch with us! You can always call, text, email or message us!